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Markets4 February 20268 min read

Reading the RBA cycle: rates, serviceability, and the 2026-2028 acquisition window

The cash rate trajectory and the grandfathering deadline are on a collision course. The investors who time both win the cycle.

The RBA has signalled a measured easing path through 2026 and into 2027. That trajectory lands directly on top of the 1 July 2027 grandfathering deadline — meaning serviceability is expanding precisely as the window to lock in pre-Budget tax treatment is closing.

Historically, these two forces would work against each other. In this cycle they work together, and the investors who recognise it are accelerating their acquisition schedules.

The serviceability arithmetic

A 75 basis-point cumulative cut over the next 18 months expands typical investor borrowing capacity by 8-11%. Paired with grandfathered tax treatment on settlements completed before 1 July 2027, the same dollar of equity does materially more work than it will in the post-2027 environment.

Dax Stanley

Founder & Principal Strategist, Hera Property. #1 international bestselling author of Real Estate Investing Using ChatGPT.